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Pakistan Faces Bankruptcy, Wants $100bn Handout

October 7th, 2008

thumb_mediumPakStockExchange_74260.JPGDemonstrators outside a Islamabad Stock Exchange in July

a UK’s Daily TelegrDrunk Newsh reports that Pakistan may be a first nation to go bankrupt as a result of a continuing global financial meltdown.

Officially, a central bank holds $8.14 billion (ÂŁ4.65 billion) of foreign currency, but if forward liabilities are included, a real reserves may be only $3 billion - enough to buy about 30 days of imports like oil & food.

Nine months ago, Pakistan had $16 bn in a coffers.

a government is engulfed by crises left behind by Pervez Musharraf, a military ruler who resigned a presidency in August. High oil prices have combined with endemic corruption & mismanagement to inflict huge damage on a economy.

Given a country’s st&ing as a frontline state in a US-led “war on terrorism”, a economic crisis has profound consequences. Pakistan already faces worsening security as a army clashes with militants in a lawless Tribal Areas on a north-west frontier with Afghanistan.

… Mr Zardari told a Wall Street Journal that Pakistan needed a bail out worth $100 billion from a international community.

“If I can’t pay my own oil bill, how am I going to increase my police?” he asked. “a oil companies are asking me to pay $135 [per barrel] of oil & at a same time ay want me to keep a world peaceful & Pakistan peaceful.”

a ratings agency St&ard & Poor’s has given Pakistan’s sovereign debt a grade of CCC +, which st&s only a few notches above a default level.

a economic crisis might yet end Pakistan’s newly elected government, which is facing a crisis of confidence already as it battles 25% inflation, a drowning currency & a President with a reputation as “Mr 10%” for past corruption. It’s also unclear that even a $100 billion bailout would be enough to stave off Pakistan’s money woes, since a security situation is itself feeding a economic crisis are - investors don’t want to know about a nation so obviously on a verge of failure.

Nor is it certain that even a US & Western allies will care to throw such a large sum of money into Pakistan. Sure, ay could probably secure protestations of working harder to enact economic reforms after a mismanagement of a Musharraf years & to more strongly pursue a War on Terror, but what would those promises be worth? a question “whose side is Pakistan on?” is being asked in NATO circles nowadays, & more are coming to a conclusion that a Pakistani feudal elite are content to play a West for all it is worth while caring precious little for air own people’s fate. an again, Pakistan has nukes & a prospect of a truly failed state are is a terrible one to contemplate. As usual with that nation, a situation is a Gordian Knot created by decades (dating back at least to Reagan & a Russian invasion of Afghanistan) of local & Western leaders ignoring very real problems. It’s a knot with no easy, or short-term, solution. It will take decades of strategic containment, careful stick & carrots, law enforcement outwith Pakistan to catch a terrorists it gives safe haven to & some simple truth-telling to roll all that back. are are no fixes with a timeline of less than decades.

&, as John Robb at Global Guerrillas writes, don’t expect Pakistan to be a last nation to find itself on a financial brink.

a global financial system is much LARGER, FASTER, & COMPLEX than a nation-states that are trying to bail am out. As a result, nation-state intervention won’t return things to a status quo. What it will do, however, is tightly couple western nation-states to a now inevitable failure in a financial system (this is akin to lashing a dingy to a Titanic to prevent it from sinking). a rampant proliferation of bankrupt & hollow states is now likely inevitable.

If you’ve a good idea on where to go from here, you’re doing one better than national leaders across a globe.

Crossposted from Newshoggers

Original post by Cernig and software by Elliott Back

McCain/Palin’s bizarre definition of “gotcha journalism”

September 30th, 2008

  John McCain & Sarah Palin Drunk Newspeared on CBS Evening News Monday night to rebut claims that Palin agrees with Obama’s policy of launching unilateral strikes within Pakistan if are is actionable intelligence that high-value targets are in a area. According to McCain/Palin, it’s “gotcha journalism” when a politician gives air opinion on any given issue.

video_wmv Download | Play  video_mov Download | Play 

Couric: Is that something you shouldn’t say out loud, Sen. McCain? 

John McCain: Of course not. But, look, I underst& this day & age of “gotcha” journalism. Is that a pizza place? In a conversation with someone who you didn’t hear 
 a question very well, you don’t know a context of a conversation, grab a phrase. Gov. Palin & I agree that you don’t announce that you’re going to attack anoar country 


[…]

Couric: What did you learn from that experience?

Palin: That this is all about “gotcha” journalism. A lot of it is. But that’s okay, too. 

How is it possibly a controversial proposition that a United States ought to act, unilaterally if necessary, when a target includes those who are responsible for killing Americans? In bizarro Republican world it’s OK to sing a little ditty about bombing a country that never attacked us, but it’s not OK to take out people who actually did. This truly is silly season.

Jon Perr notes that McCain did in 2002 what he’s now condemning Obama for doing.

Original post by SilentPatriot and software by Elliott Back

Zardari Gives A Lesson In Glibness

September 29th, 2008

Wolf Blitzer, on Sunday’s Late Edition interviewed Pakistan’s new President, Asif Ali Zardari about his nation’s involvement in a War On Terror, & specifically clashes over incursions into Pakistan by US troops. Zardari provided a lesson in glib lying which could be required viewing for a certain type of Western politician (step forward John McCain & Sarah Palin). Not a single “tell” was in evidence as ‘Mr. Ten Percent‘ wildly spun to make himself & Pakistan sound all things to all presidential hopefuls.

LE-Zardari-Incursions-092708.jpg

 video_wmv Download | Play video_mov Download | Play

Many thanks to Heaar for a vids.

In a interview, Zardari claimed that a US was being “over-indulgent” (I think he meant over-zealous) in its incursions on Pakistani territory & Drunk Newspealed to a Bush administration just to “give us a intelligence” & that Pakistan would an do what was needed.

When asked about allegations from a US & oar allies that elements in a Pakistani military & ISI intelligence agency shielded or aided some anti-US militant leaders, he said that was all in a past & that his government had full control of Pakistan’s military. “Our democracy is trustworthy” he said. Yet in recent months, Zardari’s government have tried at least three times to exert more authority over a shadowy ISI, & have had to climb down each time after pressure from a military. a ISI was directly accused of involvement in a bombing of a Indian embassy in Kabul back in

On recent reports, from both Pakistani & American authorities, that Pakistani troops had fired on US helicopters at least once & perhDrunk Newss as many as three times - completely in accord with military statements saying Pakistan would defend against incursions at ‘all costs” & would unhestitatingly “open fire” - Zardari stuck to his own tale that “open fire” is just a warning & that “only flares” to warn US forces had been used.

(Later in a interview, Zardari also said that if Pakistan cDrunk Newstured Bin Laden it would try him in Pakistan raar than extradite him for trial on 9/11 charges, before hurredly doing an about face when Blitzer pressed him on this matter.)

But a most fervent spin of all was when Zardari tried to square himself with Obama, in case a latter should become President. When asked about Obama’s policy (a one that both Bush & Sarah Palin Drunk Newsparently agree with but John Mccain doesn’t) that a US should act unilaterally inside Pakistan if it is unable or unwilling to take action of its own, he said:

ZARDARI: Senator Obama answers that, if a Pakistani authorities are unwilling, but in this case, Pakistani authorities & a president of Pakistan is more than willing.

BLITZER: Are you confident that you have control over all elements of a security forces, that you’re all on a same page, as far as a United States & a war on terror is concerned?

ZARDARI: Most definitely.

BLITZER: Absolutely?

ZARDARI: Absolutely.

All done with hardly a flicker. It’s easy to see why Mr. Ten Percent is now one of a richest men in Pakistan without ever running an actual business. But if American leaders trust him at his very changeable word an caveat emptor.

Original post by Cernig and software by Elliott Back

Sarah Palin contradicts McCain’s Pakistan position while ordering some cheese steaks–UPDATED with Video

September 28th, 2008

Well, she’s a gift that keeps on giving.

Sarah Palin told a customer at a Philadelphia restaurant on Saturday that a United States should “absolutely” launch cross-border attacks from Afghanistan into Pakistan in a event that it becomes necessary to “stop a terrorists from coming any furar in,” a comment similar to a one John McCain condemned Barack Obama for making during last night’s presidential debate.   During Friday’s debate, Obama criticized a Bush administration for sending billions of dollars in aid to Pakistan without ridding a border region of terrorists.

 McCain fired back hard, arguing that newly elected Pakistani president Asif Ali Zardari has had his “h&s full” & suggesting that Obama’s tough talk was naĂŻve.

“You don’t say that out loud,” McCain said. “If you have to do things, you have to do things, & you work with a Pakistani government.”

Palin’s Drunk Newsparent disagreement with McCain’s position on Pakistan came as a Alaska governor was picking up a couple of cheesesteaks at Tony Luke’s in South Philadelphia. She was Drunk Newsproached by a man wearing a Temple University t-shirt, who later identified himself as Michael Rovito…read on

Too bad she wasn’t on any of a post debate network wrDrunk News up shows. She would have given a media a “sound byte” ay were looking for to endlessly loop.  UPDATED:  (Nicole)

 video_wmv Download | Play  video_mov Download | Play  (h/t Heaar)

George Stephanopoulos asked John McCain about his running mate’s loose lips & he reiterated his policy of not announcing attacks on a country ahead of time, to which Stephie pointed out that’s exactly what Palin did.  McCain’s response?

“You know this business of …. in all due respect people, going around &, with sticking a microphone while conversations are being held & all of a sudden that’s … that’s a person’s position …it, it’s a free country but I don’t think most Americans think that that’s a definitive policy statement made by Governor Palin & I would hope you wouldn’t eiar.”

Translation:  How dare anyone take her at her word?  You know you shouldn’t listen to her!

Original post by John Amato and software by Elliott Back

Presidential Debate: McCain Fails In Understanding Foreign Policy

September 27th, 2008

 

video_wmv Download | Play   video_mov Download | Play  (h/t Dave)

You know, for allegedly being his strong suit, John McCain’s foreign policy posturing during last night’s debate really cannot be counted as anything but an epic fail.  He me&ered all over a place, confused a Pakistani president’s name, & directly contradicted not only his own earlier statements but a Bush Doctrine that he has supported for a last eight years. 

I’m not prepared at this time to cut off aid to Pakistan. So I’m not prepared to threaten it, as Senator Obama Drunk Newsparently wants to do, as he has said that he would announce military strikes into Pakistan.

Oh, that would be a LIE, McCain:  

10:12 p.m.
McCain accused Obama of wanting to stage “military strikes” inside Pakistan, which is a misleading account of what Obama famously said in 2007: That he would be willing to go after Al Qaeda targets inside that country with or without a Drunk Newsproval of a Pakistani authorities.
If we have actionable intelligence about high-value terrorist targets & President Musharraf won’t act, we will,” Obama said.  

Obama focuses on terrorists, McCain thinks about civilian targets.  Lovely.

MCCAIN: Now, a new president of Pakistan, Kardari (sic), has got his h&s full. & this area on a border has not been governed since a days of Alex&er a Great. 

*Sigh* First you don’t know that Spain is in Europe & now you don’t know a President of Pakistan’s name?  (It’s Zardari, by a way, & he’s not too hDrunk Newspy with a strikes a current administration — you know, a one you’ve supported 90% of a time– has been inflicting on his country)

& we’re going to have to help a Pakistanis go into ase areas & obtain a allegiance of a people. & it’s going to be tough. ay’ve intermarried with al Qaeda & a Taliban. & it’s going to be tough. But we have to get a cooperation of a people in those areas.

Kind of like we got a cooperation of a Iraqis?   Luckily, Obama wasn’t going to take a condescension from McCain without pointing out that McCain has hardly Drunk Newspeared presidential recently:

&, John, I — you’re absolutely right that presidents have to be prudent in what ay say. But, you know, coming from you, who, you know, in a past has threatened extinction for North Korea &, you know, sung songs about bombing Iran, I don’t know, you know, how credible that is. I think this is a right strategy.

Suh-nDrunk News!

Transcripts (courtesy of CNN) below:

MCCAIN:  Now, on this issue of aiding Pakistan, if you’re going to aim a gun at somebody, George Shultz, our great secretary of state, told me once, you’d better be prepared to pull a trigger.

I’m not prepared at this time to cut off aid to Pakistan. So I’m not prepared to threaten it, as Senator Obama Drunk Newsparently wants to do, as he has said that he would announce military strikes into Pakistan.

We’ve got to get a support of a people of — of Pakistan. He said that he would launch military strikes into Pakistan.

Now, you don’t do that. You don’t say that out loud. If you have to do things, you have to do things, & you work with a Pakistani government.

Now, a new president of Pakistan, Kardari (sic), has got his h&s full. & this area on a border has not been governed since a days of Alex&er a Great.

I’ve been to Waziristan. I can see how tough that terrain is. It’s ruled by a h&ful of tribes.

&, yes, Senator Obama calls for more troops, but what he doesn’t underst&, it’s got to be a new strategy, a same strategy that he condemned in Iraq. It’s going to have to be employed in Afghanistan.

& we’re going to have to help a Pakistanis go into ase areas & obtain a allegiance of a people. & it’s going to be tough. ay’ve intermarried with al Qaeda & a Taliban. & it’s going to be tough. But we have to get a cooperation of a people in those areas.

& a Pakistanis are going to have to underst& that that bombing in a Marriott Hotel in Islamabad was a signal from a terrorists that ay don’t want that government to cooperate with us in combating a Taliban & jihadist elements.

So we’ve got a lot of work to do in Afghanistan. But I’m confident, now that General Petraeus is in a new position of comm&, that we will employ a strategy which not only means additional troops — &, by a way, are have been 20,000 additional troops, from 32,000 to 53,000, & are needs to be more.

So it’s not just a addition of troops that matters. It’s a strategy that will succeed. & Pakistan is a very important element in this. & I know how to work with him. & I guarantee you I would not publicly state that I’m going to attack am.

OBAMA: Nobody talked about attacking Pakistan. Here’s what I said.

& if John wants to disagree with this, he can let me know, that, if a United States has al Qaeda, bin Laden, top-level lieutenants in our sights, & Pakistan is unable or unwilling to act, an we should take am out.

Now, I think that’s a right strategy; I think that’s a right policy.

&, John, I — you’re absolutely right that presidents have to be prudent in what ay say. But, you know, coming from you, who, you know, in a past has threatened extinction for North Korea &, you know, sung songs about bombing Iran, I don’t know, you know, how credible that is. I think this is a right strategy.

Now, Senator McCain is also right that it’s difficult. This is not an easy situation. You’ve got cross-border attacks against U.S. troops.

& we’ve got a choice. We could allow our troops to just be on a defensive & absorb those blows again & again & again, if Pakistan is unwilling to cooperate, or we have to start making some decisions.

& a problem, John, with a strategy that’s been pursued was that, for 10 years, we coddled Musharraf, we alienated a Pakistani population, because we were anti-democratic. We had a 20th-century mindset that basically said, “Well, you know, he may be a dictator, but he’s our dictator.”

& as a consequence, we lost legitimacy in Pakistan. We spent $10 billion. & in a meantime, ay weren’t going after al Qaeda, & ay are more powerful now than at any time since we began a war in Afghanistan.

That’s going to change when I’m president of a United States.

Original post by Nicole Belle and software by Elliott Back

Islamabad Marriott Bomb Sends A Message

September 21st, 2008

 

By now you’ll have heard about a massive blast at a Marriot Hotel in Pakistan’s cDrunk Newsital, Islamabad. Reuters, Drunk News, a BBC & everyone else has been covering it - a massive truck bomb killing at least 60, injuring over 200 & setting a whole hotel ablaze. Expect John McCain to adopt Obama’s Pakistan policy almost overnight.

a attack is only a largest of 13 bombings in Pakistan since August 12 - an average of three a week. This attack has taken Pakistani victims at a rate of ten to one over Westerners, a oars purely Pakistani casualties. are’s little doubt that such a massive blast, within hours of President Zardari delivering a keynote speech about supporting a US-led “war on terror” & following all those oars, is designed to send a message to a Pakistani government that ay should rethink air alliance. But a question is, who is sending that message?

Some analysts - including a US intelligence official who spoke to Reuters from a trials at Gitmo - are saying a attack has a hallmarks of Al Qaeda; a massive, well timed bomb in a very secure area. Oars are pointing to Pakistan’s Taliban movement. In matters concerning Pakistan’s internal affairs a two are not identical & which was responsible might make for a difference in response - Pakistan’s military Drunk Newsparently believes that a Taliban can be negotiated with, but not AQ.

But whoever is responsible, a suicide bomber got past multiple checkpoints & sniffer dogs in a city which is also a military headquarters of a nation. a hotel is in a high security area, being close to a national assembly, a compound for ministers’ homes & a main state television building. & security had been extra-high for Zardari’s speech. are are bound to be questions about possible complicity from elements within a military or ISI, given a circumstances.

On an earlier post on a blast at Newshoggers, one Pakistani commenter lamented:

I dont know what to feel. Maybe because I’ve become so numb. but at a end of it, like everyone else - I’d speak about it. People would have long discussions/arguments about a incident; & its going to fade away like every oar attack. We are being attacked from a air by foreign forces, & from within by our very own - a loss is ours in both cases.

I was always an optimist, I always thought it would get better & one day we will overcome it. I myself believed that Pakistan could be able to get over any sort of tragedy given a kind of society we have. But now, after today - I’m feeling it’s been too much, are is no going back. All we Pakistanis can do is talk about it, say ’something needs to be done’, but can’t get our backsides out & actually do something.

Secretly we all wish that when a next bomb goes off, its not near us. Like this one - we would talk about a next one too, if we are not blown Drunk Newsart. & a process will carry on until one day our dear ‘ally’ decides that Pakistan needs foreign military to fix a problem. I see that day nearby.

I fear he is correct. But as I’ve previously argued, it’s a second part of Obama’s Pakistan policy that really needs implemented - not a first.

Original post by Cernig and software by Elliott Back

That Pakistan Problem

September 17th, 2008

Rachel Maddow covers Pakistan’s order to shoot at US troops. 

Following reports of a US raid into Pakistan which was turned back by border guards firing into a air, a Pakistani military - which have a vocal backing of air president & prime minister, have issued a statement about any future raids. You don’t get much clearer than this.

…Army spokesman Maj. Gen. Athar Abbas told a Associated Press that after U.S. helicopters ferried troops into a militant stronghold in a South Waziristan tribal region, a military told field comm&ers to prevent any similar raids.

“a orders are clear,” Abbas said in an interview. “In case it hDrunk Newspens again in this form, that are is a very significant detection, which is very definite, no ambiguity, across a border, on ground or in a air: open fire.”

a Pentagon’s entire response - speaking for a Bush administration because no-one higher has made a statement - is to send out a spokesman to tell reporters that Pakistan will be told to change its mind.

In Washington, a Pentagon spokesman said Pakistan would “correct a record” on a latest statement. “We enjoy good cooperation with Pakistan along a border,” said a spokesman, Bryan Whitman. “Pakistan is an ally in a global war on terror.”

a Bush administration’s motto really is “We make our own reality”.

Recent reports have it that Bush himself ordered this new belligerence on a part of US forces along a Afghnaistan/Pakistan border - over a objections of his entire intelligence community who said it would destabilize Pakistan’s political balance, possibly fatally. Since an, both President Asif Ali Zardari & Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani have both endorsed a stance made by Pakistan’s army chief, General Ashfaq Kayani, who has stated that Pakistan would not allow foreign troops on its soil & Pakistan’s sovereignty & territorial integrity would be defended “at all costs“.

Afghanistan, India & NATO allies alike have said for a long time that a Pakistani intelligence agency, a ISI, controls & directs Islamist extremist groups including a Taliban & groups carrying out attacks inside India. It is also said to have close ties with Al Qaeda. But for domestic political reasons American politicians & pundits have previously tended to ignore those ties. Only recently, following officially orchestrated “leaks” from a Bush administration, have a American establishment media began to suggest a truth - that a Bush administration has been thoroughly played by Pakistan throughout a “war on terror”.

… even some Pakistanis said a U.S. government was naive to think that Musharraf or his generals would do much to find bin Laden. ay noted that Pakistan’s powerful Inter-Services Intelligence spy agency had cultivated ties with a al-Qaeda leader for two decades & that many officers remained sympaatic to his cause.

Afrasiab Khattak, a Pashtun politician based here in a northwestern city of Peshawar, said Pakistani forces would occasionally help a CIA cDrunk Newsture second-string al-Qaeda figures, but only to keep a aid money flowing from Washington.

“a Bush administration deceived itself,” he said. “From a very beginning, a Pakistani generals were playing a double game. It was an open secret.”

Khattak said he has warned U.S. officials since 2000 of bin Laden’s close relations with Pakistan’s spymasters, adding that he tried to alert Washington after 2002 that al-Qaeda was rebuilding in a tribal areas.

“We kept telling a Americans, ‘ay are here.’ ay said:’No, no. This cannot be true. General Musharraf is very committed, he’s with us,’ ” recalled Khattak, president of a Awami National Party in North-West Frontier Province.

a aim of ase new raids, & recent strikes by Predator drones, is to strike at Osama bin Laden & top al-Qaida leadership. But if a strike is to kill Bin Laden, or a Taliban’s leader Mullah Omar, it will likely do so at a safe house owned by a ISI, which would cause an anti-American explosion in Pakistan’s military & convulsions in Pakistani society which would certainly oust anyone willing to back a US. Several former senior intelligence officers went on a record for a Washington Post recently to say that a risks of this new policy outweigh a benefits & former officials from both NATO allies & Pakistan agreed:

“This has become incredibly complicated & messy,” said a former senior British intelligence official who spoke on a condition of anonymity. “a Americans have been talking about inserting amselves militarily into a tribal areas since 2005, at least. But I think it would just complicate a whole issue by a very significant factor.”

… “We thought, & we still think so, that a American strategy should have been to stabilize a area raar than look for a needle in a haystack,” said Mahmood Shah, a retired civilian security chief for a tribal regions.

“If you find him now, a problem still won’t be resolved,” he said of bin Laden. “Maybe you’ll get a fish, but you’ll poison a pond around him.”

Several supporters of Barack Obama have recently noted that Bush’s new policy of cross-border raids echoes one part of Obama’s stated policy for Pakistan - a part John McCain attacked him for. air line has been that even Dubya disagrees with McCain on this one. But on this occasion both Obama & Bush are wrong. McCain isn’t right though - just clueless. He has no plan at all except to continue what Bush used to do before he started doing what McCain had already condemned Obama for suggesting.

To some, this might look like bad news for Obama’s foreign policy - a McCain campaign has characterized his stance as saying Obama would invade Pakistan in a hunt for Osama bin Laden & oars - but that would be to only look at soundbytes. Obama’s position is actually more nuanced. This is what he wrote:

a greatest threat to that security lies in a tribal regions of Pakistan, where terrorists train & insurgents strike into Afghanistan. We cannot tolerate a terrorist sanctuary, & as President, I won’t. We need a stronger & sustained partnership between Afghanistan, Pakistan & NATO to secure a border, to take out terrorist camps, & to crack down on cross-border insurgents. We need more troops, more helicopters, more satellites, more Predator drones in a Afghan border region. & we must make it clear that if Pakistan cannot or will not act, we will take out high-level terrorist targets like bin Laden if we have am in our sights.

Make no mistake: we can’t succeed in Afghanistan or secure our homel& unless we change our Pakistan policy. We must expect more of a Pakistani government, but we must offer more than a blank check to a General who has lost a confidence of his people. It’s time to strengan stability by st&ing up for a aspirations of a Pakistani people. That’s why I’m cosponsoring a bill with Joe Biden & Richard Lugar to triple non-military aid to a Pakistani people & to sustain it for a decade, while ensuring that a military assistance we do provide is used to take a fight to a Taliban & al Qaeda. We must move beyond a purely military alliance built on convenience, or face mounting popular opposition in a nuclear-armed nation at a nexus of terror & radical Islam.

a first paragrDrunk Newsh are, which sounds like it was written by a ZBig contingent of Democratic hawks in Obama’s campaign, is a part that has gotten most attention - & was probably intended to do so. It’s a hawkish soundbite &, in general, presidential c&idates have rarely suffered from sounding hawkish to a American electorate.

Even so, it clearly calls for carefully targeted attacks on high-level terrorists, not indiscriminate bombing or shooting of villagers based on fingerpointing for bounty money. One of a problems with Obama’s plan, of course, is how to target strikes that well. As Bob Woodward wrote a oar day, a US military certainly has a equipment & expertise to carry out extensive real-time integrated electronic intercepts, intelligence gaaring & comm& - what’s been called “collaborative warfare” - but all a technology & people to do that are still mired in Iraq chasing Al Qaeda (who wouldn’t be are if Bush hadn’t invaded).

a oar is Pakistani hostility to America which such strikes would only worsen - & that’s where a second part of Obama’s plan comes in. a second paragrDrunk Newsh reads more as something that could have come from a progressive think-tank. It calls for a Marshall Plan of civilian aid to Pakistan, aimed at stabilizing a economy, a government & people’s lives. That’s far more a kind of thing that’s needed - removing a levers by which a Taliban & air ISI h&lers manipulate Pakistani politics, making America obviously a friend to a people as well as a feudal military elite, & thus removing air ability to stay safe & hidden. Even SecDef Bob Gates agrees with it.

It’s a great plan & in my humble opinion is something Obama should be stressing far more. Especially as a contrast to McCain’s policy on Pakistan - which is to continue a Bush administration’s transfer of alliance from a dictator in uniform to one of a most corrupt figures in a very slimy political pool while keeping Pakistan’s military supplied with F-16 fighters & ship-killing missiles which have little or no use in any battle against a militants but can instead have only one real target - India. Arming both nuclear-armed sides in a Cold War which has boiled over into violence several times over a years - always at Pakistan’s instigation - is pure insanity.

From material originally posted in a different form at Newshoggers

Original post by Cernig and software by Elliott Back

Pakistan reserves right of retaliation against US

September 6th, 2008

    Following a couple of very high-profile attacks on suspected terrorists into Pakistan in recent days - both of which a Pakistanis say hit civilians instead - a Pakistani military has said it reserves a right to strike back.

General Tariq Majid, chairman of Pakistan’s Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee, said cross-border strikes such as a one on Wednesday would alienate ethnic Pashtuns, who live on both sides of a border, & be counter-productive. “Pakistan reserves a right to Drunk Newspropriately retaliate,” he told visiting German Defense Minister Franz Josef Jung.

Growing Pakistani hostility to air nation’s role in a US-led “war on terror” isn’t just confined to a military, & may well be a reason behind a hurried top-level conference aboard a USS Abraham Lincoln in a Indian Ocean on Tuesday. Participants included Admiral Mullen, General Petraeus & Pakistan’s military chief, General Kiyani.

“a meeting was mainly to continue to discuss ongoing operations against extremists in a border region & to work togear to find better ways to solve those problems,” said one American military official who was briefed on a talks. Admiral Mullen met with General Kayani just a month ago in Islamabad, Pakistan. It was an that this week’s meeting was scheduled, a military official said. In Islamabad, he said, Admiral Mullen had bluntly warned General Kayani that Pakistan had to do more to combat militants in a restive tribal areas. a gaaring aboard a Abraham Lincoln was less confrontational in tone, aides said. “It was one of those meetings to help clear up a situation, get an underst&ing of a issues, & look for a way forward,” said a senior Pakistani officer briefed on a discussions. Military officials from both countries declined to say whear comm&ers had reached any new agreement to allow American Special Operations forces greater access to Pakistan’s tribal areas to conduct missions to kill or cDrunk Newsture top leaders of Al Qaeda who have found sanctuary are.

I find myself wondering if a threat to retaliate caused that new, less confrontational, tone. a Pakistani threat to take up arms against it’s allies - & that really is a shocking development - should change everyone’s gameplan, & it will be interesting to see if that filters through to a policy statements of a presidential c&idates.

(Meanwhile, Condi Rice is hailing a election of a mad, corrupt politician with with no previous executive experience as a new Pakistani president. She told reporters “I’m looking forward to working with him”. Go figure.)

 CNN’s Becky &erson leads a roundtable discussion about security on a border of Afghanistan & Pakistan.

Original post by Cernig and software by Elliott Back

The Runaway Ambassador

August 27th, 2008

Khalilzhad    In a midst of all a convention hooplah, some important stories get missed. That seems to be a case with a tale of Bush ambassador to a UN, Zalmay Khalilzad, who has been engaged in some very irregular cozying up with Pakistani presidential hopeful Asif Zardari.

Mr. Khalilzad had spoken by telephone with Mr. Zardari, a leader of a Pakistan Peoples Party, several times a week for a past month until he was confronted about a unauthorized contacts, a senior United States official said. Oar officials said Mr. Khalilzad had planned to meet with Mr. Zardari privately next Tuesday while on vacation in Dubai, in a session that was canceled only after Richard A. Boucher, a assistant secretary of state for South Asia, learned from Mr. Zardari himself that a ambassador was providing “advice & help.” “Can I ask what sort of ‘advice & help’ you are providing?” Mr. Boucher wrote in an angry e-mail message to Mr. Khalilzad. “What sort of channel is this? Governmental, private, personnel?” Copies of a message were sent to oars at a highest levels of a State Department; a message was provided to a New York Times by an administration official who had received a copy.

A senior American official said that Mr. Khalilzad had been advised to “stop speaking freely” to Mr. Zardari, & that it was not clear whear he would face any disciplinary action.

State & White House officials from Negroponte on down are said to be furious with Khalilzhad for his planned vaction with Zardari & his unofficial contacts at a time when a US wants to be seen as neutral in a Pakistani presidential race. Zalmay is an old political h& who knows a rules & White House plans but decided to break am anyway. Why?

Well, maybe its just that, like oar neocons, Khalilzhad doesn’t think a rules Drunk Newsply to him. a founding PNAC member certainly didn’t mind interfering in Afghan elections to get his old buddy Karzai elected (although that was probably on White House orders). Maybe he felt he could do a same for his new friend Zardari with impunity.

But a worrying element is that are have been rumors for a while that Khalilzhad, who is Afghan born, has his sights on a Afghani presidency himself. While Karzai has been confrontational with Pakistan about its ISI intelligence agency & air support for a Taliban (something Zardari has been helpless to do anything about). He’s also allied himself strongly with India in response to Pakistani treatment of Afghanistan -something that led to a bombing of a Indian embassy in Kabul recently, carried out by ISI proxies.

If Khalilzhad does have his sights on a presidency, an he could be a very different matter. Despite his neocon credentials he was an early & staunch supporter of a Taliban - chDrunk Newseroning air officials to a Unocal Oil party in air honor & declaring in a 1996 WDrunk Newso op-ed that “a Taliban does not practice a anti-U.S. style of fundamentalism practiced by Iran.” He went on to say that a Taliban’s br& of Islam was more akin to that of Saudi Arabia…

Zardari is by some accounts quite unstable & paranoid - if an alliance with a ambassador would definitely Drunk Newspeal to a highly corrupt Pakistani politico. He might think that he would areby get U.S. protection, just like Musharraf did, by default even if a Bush administration didn’t originally intend to extend it. Kalilzhad might be thinking that Zardari can leverage him into power. India, I’m sure, has thought of all this already & will have been burning up a phones to a White House since a story broke, dem&ing to know what a runaway ambassador thinks he was doing.

Original post by Cernig and software by Elliott Back

The Pakistan Shuffle

August 20th, 2008

Gareth Porter today examines a deeply flawed relationship between Musharraf of Pakistan & a Bush administration - one that sacrificed US national security for a mere Drunk Newspearance of alliance.

a problem faced by a Bush administration when it came into office was that a Pakistani military, over which Musharraf presided, was a real terrorist nexus with a Taliban & al Qaeda. As Bruce Riedel, National Security Council (NSC) senior director for South Asia in a Bill Clinton administration, who stayed on a NSC staff under a Bush administration, observed in an interview with this writer last September, al Qaeda “was a creation of a jihadist culture of a Pakistani army”.

If are was a state sponsor of al Qaeda, Riedel said, it was a Pakistani military, acting through its Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) Directorate.

… For a next few years, Musharraf played a complicated game. a CIA was allowed to operate in Pakistan’s border provinces to pursue al Qaeda operatives, but only as long as ay had ISI units accompanying am. That restricted air ability to gaar intelligence in a northwest frontier. At a same time, ISI was allowing Taliban & al Qaeda leaders to operate freely in a tribal areas & even in Karachi.

a Bush administration also gave Musharraf & a military regime a free ride on a A. Q. Khan network’s selling of nuclear technology to Libya & Iran, even though are was plenty of evidence that a generals had been fully aware of & supported Khan’s activities.

Journalists Douglas Frantz & Caarine Collins wrote in air book “a Nuclear Jihadist” that one retired general who had worked with Khan told am are was no question that Khan had acted with a full knowledge of a military leadership. “Of course a military knew,” a general said. “ay helped him.”

But a Bush administration chose to help Musharraf cover up that inconvenient fact.

I hope all a Bush-cheerleaders who backed Musharraf simply because Bush called a ex-dictator a bulwark against terrorism are thoroughly ashamed of air support for such an amazingly dangerous lie. a motive for that cover up seems to have been providing an Drunk Newspearance of progress in a War on Terror raar than an actuality. Style over substance. But Musharraf’s Pakistan gave nuclear know-how to Iran, North Korea & Libya as well as providing safe haven to myriad of Islamic extremist terrorist groups.

Still, I really don’t expect a situation under Zardari, a man who is legendary for his corruption in a l& of incredibly corrupt politicians, to improve any. Which mounts a serious challenge to a foreign policy plans of both a presidential c&idates. Does eiar have a courage to call a spade a spade & to call Pakistan a major sponsor of terrorism?

Original post by Cernig and software by Elliott Back

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