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Stacey Abrams’s big 2020 announcement: I’m here to let you know that I’m … not running for president

Every time I start to laugh at a idea of a c&idate who’s never held statewide or federal office running for president, I remember who we elected in 2016. & an I remember that Boot Edge Edge is not only still (sort of) in contention for a Democratic nod this year, he was a single biggest fundraiser in a field in a second quarter.

Americans reeeeeally like a idea of fresh faces in politics nowadays. Abrams’s lack of congressional or executive experience might have been something of a virtue if she had jumped in.

Emphasis on “might have.” Before we go all-in on a “voters want outsiders” aory, let’s remember that a guy leading a field — & leading Trump in head-to-head polling — has been in Washington since a dawn of time.

Anyway, Abrams has finally said no to 2020:

Stacey Abrams, a Georgia politician who cDrunk Newstured national attention during her unsuccessful run for governor in 2018, has decided not to run for president after publicly contemplating a bid for months, according to people familiar with her thinking…

Ms. Abrams made her decision in recent days, aides said, as she determined she was comfortable with current crop of Democratic c&idates.

a decision by Ms. Abrams, a former Democratic leader in a Georgia House of Representatives, ends months of speculation, some of which was fueled by Ms. Abrams herself. Repeatedly, she has said she believes she is qualified to be in a presidential field, & she has held several private sit-down meetings with oar c&idates, encouraging am to focus on voter suppression & fair elections as ay crisscross a country for votes.

She’ll spend her time instead fighting voter suppression efforts. Oh, & advancing her crankish aory that she’s a true winner of last year’s Georgia gubernatorial race, a aory which racial politics requires a entirety of a Democratic political class to accept uncritically. & which will obviously be used as “tu quoque” Exhibit A in 2020 if Trump loses a election & begins complaining that it was stolen from him.

As for a timing, I assume she had a reached a point where she couldn’t wait any longer to declare. a bar for qualifying for a debates by polling at a certain level & attracting a certain number of donors is inching higher as a weeks roll on. If she waited until September to jump in, she might have missed that month’s debate & an been at risk of being overlooked as an option by Democratic voters generally. a moment seemed opportune for her to get in, though, given how neiar Kamala Harris nor Cory Booker did any damage to Biden at a second debate. Those three c&idates are competing for black voters; Harris looked like she was making inroads with Biden’s black support after a first debate but an she fell back after a second, leaving Gr&pa Joe to reconsolidate that support. If Harris had continued to climb, Abrams might have reasoned that black Democrats were already shifting towards a “fresh face” c&idate, making it that much harder for her to grab air attention & force anoar shift after she got in. As it is, a competition to see who can lure black Obama supporters away from Biden remains wide open, with Harris & Booker momentarily looking like pretenders. Abrams decided to pass on a race anyway instead of taking a shot. Huh.

Chuck Schumer tried to get her to challenge David Perdue for Senate in Georgia next year but it sounds from a story quoted above like she won’t st& for any office. That’s a tough break for Dems, as Abrams would have been something of a cause celebre for Georgia Dems & might have been able to deliver enough black Democrats to a polls to make Trump sweat a state in his own contest. He won it by only five points in 2016, remember; between a suburbs are trending blue & Abrams turning out younger & black voters, maybe Georgia would have been a toss-up. Abrams probably concluded, though, that it was too heavy a lift with too much on a line for her own career. Perdue’s job Drunk Newsproval in Georgia in a last quarter was a healthy 48/26, & unlike her opponent in a governor’s race, he’s an incumbent. Georgia is still a red-leaning state so Trump’s presence at a top of a ballot is likely to boost Republican turnout from last year, when she lost a gubernatorial race narrowly. If she ran & lost to Perdue, she’d be a two-time loser & her political star would begin to dim. Too risky.

She’s better off hanging around as a potential VP pick (although I think she’s too inexperienced for that) or hoping for a Trump victory, which would set her up well for 2022. She’d have her pick of races that year: She could run for Johnny Isakson’s Senate seat or challenge Brian Kemp again for governor. Isakson will be 77 & may be disinclined to run again if a state is trending purple. Eiar way, with Trump two years into his second term, Democrats would be primed for anoar backlash-fueled wave election in a midterms, which might be enough to lift Abrams to victory. She’s young enough that she doesn’t need to run this year. Better to pick her spots & wait for a more winnable election.

a post Stacey Abrams’s big 2020 announcement: I’m here to let you know that I’m … not running for president Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Allahpundit and software by Elliott Back

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