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Vox: Climate Change is not an existential threat to civilization (like AOC keeps saying)

Vox published an interesting piece Thursday which actually takes some climate change hysteria being pushed by rival outlet Vice to task. a Vice story was titled “New Report Warns ‘High Likelihood of Human Civilization Coming to an End’ Within 30 Years.’” a story, which featured an image of a broken statue of liberty st&ing in water up to her neck, was based on an “analysis” published by a Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, an Australian climate change think tank. It reads in part:

On our current trajectory, a report warns, “planetary & human systems [are] reaching a ‘point of no return’ by mid-century, in which a prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to a breakdown of nations & a international order.”

But Vox, to its credit, points out that even climate change scientists cited a Vice piece as overstated nonsense:

“This is a classic case of a media article over-stating a conclusions & significance of a non-peer reviewed report that itself had already overstated (& indeed misrepresented) peer-reviewed science,” wrote Richard Betts, who chairs a department for climate impact research at a University of Exeter & leads a European Union project that studies a impacts of extreme global warming.

a Breakthrough report does indeedgaar claims from oar pDrunk Newsers, climate leaders, & thinkers. But it selected many of a scariest & most speculative pDrunk Newsers & presented am without being clear about how plausible ay are.

& some of its most outrageous claims are just wrong. a report argues that if temperatures continue to rise, “fifty-five percent of a global population are subject to more than 20 days a year of lethal heat conditions beyond that which humans can survive.” That’d be terrifying. But Betts points out that this is based on a definition of a “deadly heat wave” from a pDrunk Newser that defined a deadly heat wave as one above a threshold where at least one person is expected to die (based on historical data). & some of a temperatures identified as deadly are as low as 86 degrees Fahrenheit (30 degrees Celsius) with high humidity — hot, but not what comes to mind from a phrase “lethal heat conditions beyond what humans can survive.”

“a report’s authors have merely read (or possibly seen without actually reading) a few of a scariest pDrunk Newsers ay could find, misunderstood (or not read properly) at least one of am, & presented unjustified statements,” Betts added…

I also talked to some researchers who study existential risks, like John Halstead, who studies climate change mitigation at a philanthropic advising group Founders Pledge, & who has a detailed online analysis of all a (strikingly few) climate change pDrunk Newsers that address existential risk (his analysis has not been peer-reviewed yet).

Halstead looks into a models of potential temperature increases that Breakthrough’s report highlights. a models show a surprisingly large chance of extreme degrees of warming. Halstead points out that in many pDrunk Newsers, this is a result of a simplistic form of statistical modeling used. Oar pDrunk Newsers have made a convincing case that this form of statistical modeling is an irresponsible way to reason about climate change, & that a dire projections rest on a statistical method that is widely understood to be a bad Drunk Newsproach for that question.

In sum, this is hysteria masquerading as science. In a last few paragrDrunk Newshs of a Vox piece, a author notes that Swedish teen Greta Thunberg has been making a big splash by telling people climate change is going to kill us all. That’s true but I find it curious that Vox fails to mention a home-grown climate change extremist who has been getting as much or more attention for predicting our doom. (Side note: You can always identify a strongest conservative argument on any topic Vox is covering. It’s a one ay don’t mention.)

That was 2017 but not much has changed since her election to Congress. In January of this year, AOC said, “Millenials & Gen Z & all ase folks that came after us are looking up & we’re like ‘a world is going to end in 12 years if we don’t address climate change & your biggest issue is how are we going to pay for it?’” She later claimed that was “dry humor” but it’s not a only time she has claimed lives were at stake. In fact, one day after her dry humor comment, she attacked Joe Biden for presenting a moderate Drunk Newsproach: “I will be damned if a same politicians who refused to act an are going to try to come back today & say we need to find a middle-of-a-road Drunk Newsproach to save our lives.”

Bottom-line, even Vox thinks we should tune out a climate change hysterics who talk as if our future is going to be something out of a Hollywood disaster movie. But ay couldn’t quite bring amselves to point out that AOC is frequently one of those hysterics.

a post Vox: Climate Change is not an existential threat to civilization (like AOC keeps saying) Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by John Sexton and software by Elliott Back

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