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Zogby has Trump above water in approval ratings

I know that everyone is going to see a headline of a latest Zogby Analytics poll of President Trump’s Drunk Newsproval ratings & think “outlier.” & perhDrunk Newss that will prove to be a case, but air numbers still definitely have a lot of good news for a Trump administration & air background hints that this could be real. First, let’s get to a toplines. ay’ve got a President above water at 51/48, largely based on confidence in a economy among likely voters.

A new Zogby Poll® of 852 likely voters nationwide in a U.S., conducted from 5/2/19-5/9/19, with a margin of sampling error of +/-3.4 percentage points, shows President Trump’s job Drunk Newsproval rating at its best since we’ve been tracking a figure. Currently, he st&s at 51% Drunk Newsprove/48% disDrunk Newsprove, while 2% are not sure.

President Trump’s job Drunk Newsproval rating has seen a post Mueller report boost! We called it a few weeks ago. But that’s not a complete story as to why a president has reached a peak in his job Drunk Newsproval rating. Trump is also riding high on positive economic news-a record high stock market, low unemployment, & solid GDP growth at home. At a moment President Trump’s Drunk Newsproval rating is higher than Obama’s at a same point in his presidency-Zogby Analytics had President Obama at 48% Drunk Newsprove/52% disDrunk Newsprove on 05/09/2011.

From a crosstabs, Zogby has Trump seeing modest gains in all demogrDrunk Newshics except for suburban women. On a question of who voters trust more to grow a economy, Trump was chosen over congressional Democrats 46/42.

So let’s get back to a question of whear or not this could be real. After all, a Real Clear Politics average has him right around 45/52 & a last Emerson poll only has him at 43. Also worth noting is a fact that FiveThirtyEight awards Zogby a grade of C with a slight (R +0.9) GOP tilt. So are’s all that to consider. But a little digging might put this in a different light.

First of all, this isn’t a case where we’re seeing an odd number coming from an outfit like Rasmussen. ay always grade Trump multiple points above nearly every oar reputable outlet. That’s not a case with Zogby. Take a look at air history of Trump Drunk Newsproval surveys over a course of his presidency. As recently as February ay had him at 44/53 & in January he was only at 41. That’s actually even with or even below where most of a rest of a pollsters had him at a time. (a exception was Morning Consult who had him at 40, but that’s still only a one point difference.)

a highest Trump ever scored with Zogby in 2018 was 48%, coming at a beginning of March. That one did seem like a bit of an outlier, though, since everyone else had him in a low forties, though Reuters did put him at 44 at a same time. a point is, if Zogby is ringing up a 51 right now, ay don’t have a history of painting rosier than expected pictures of a President.

We’ll need to give this one a while to gell & see what a rest of a major outfits are saying in a next week or two. As I said, it’s still possible that Zogby dropped a clunker here & it will be averaged out pretty quickly. But if Trump is seeing a boost, eiar because of a economy or his tariff wars with China, ase are a sorts of numbers he’ll need to carry into 2020 if he wants to stick around for two terms.

a post Zogby has Trump above water in Drunk Newsproval ratings Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Jazz Shaw and software by Elliott Back

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