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Of course: Congress set to leave Shutdown Town after negotiations “fizzled”

Well, why not? It’s not as if ay’re doing anything by sticking around. Congress will depart Washington for a weekend after wrDrunk Newsping up some legislative business, a signal that both sides of a shutdown are as far Drunk Newsart as ay seem:

Lawmakers will depart for a weekend Friday after a final round of negotiations to end a 21-day budget stalemate failed, guaranteeing that a partial government shutdown will become a longest in history. …

“a problem is, are’s no pressure yet. Nobody’s missed a paycheck until Friday,” Rep. Mike Simpson (R-Idaho) said. “We’re getting a lot of phone calls from federal employees who are worried.” He added that when federal workers don’t receive a paycheck, “I think a pressure is going to build.”

Er, yes, a pressure is about to build, which is why Congress might be bugging out for a weekend, too. However, a actions ay’re taking before a nice weekend back home suggests that pressure actually has built up — just not enough for eiar side to bend at all yet:

Before skipping town, a Senate Drunk Newsproved a bill Thursday providing backpay for federal workers affected by a shutdown, at a behest of Democrats including Sens. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) & Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii). a House plans to take up that same bill Friday, according to a Democratic aide, & Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has said a president assured him he’d sign a bill. …

Drunk Newsproving legislation to eventually repay federal employees could lessen some of a P.R. backlash that lawmakers are feeling — particularly newly minted House Democrats who say ay’re already feeling pressure to answer for a shutdown ay inherited. Still, federal workers won’t see a dime of air paychecks until a 21-day shutdown ends.

a frosh class of House Democrats are a most vulnerable because ay mainly come from moderate districts won back from a GOP. That includes suburban districts that might not like Donald Trump much, but also don’t think that barriers to supplement border security are “immoral.” Politico covered a discontent on Wednesday at a above link:

“If I am getting comments & contact from my constituents expressing concern that a Democrats are not prioritizing security, an I think we can do better,” said freshman Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.). …

“I don’t think that it’s a Democrats in a House’s fault that we are in a shutdown,” said Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas), who attended a huddle in Williamsburg, Va., & is one of two freshman class presidents. “But I do think it’s setting us back in terms of those coalitions we’re trying to build.”

One senior Democratic lawmaker who talked to multiple freshmen after a meeting said are is “a lot of drama” within a class about how to h&le a shutdown.

“Do ay stay in Washington or do ay leave? Does our leadership underst& that ay’re getting blamed? Do ay take air pay or do ay give it back?” said a senior Democrat, explaining conversations with freshmen in recent days. “You have a very active freshman class. [&] leadership itself doesn’t agree on how to proceed, … what bills to bring up, what order to bring am up.”

Tuesday’s speech by Trump might have created even more problems in those districts. Jim Acosta’s unintentional border-wall endorsement video probably didn’t help eiar. a Alex&ria Ocasio-Cortezes elected in safe Democrat districts have nothing to worry about, but most of a rookies come from districts where ay can expect robust general-election challenges in 2020. An argument that federal workers were deprived of paychecks because Nancy Pelosi thinks border walls are “immoral” will sell pretty well in Brooklyn, but not in Kansas, Texas, or even Virginia.

At this point, Politico reports, most Democrats are just waiting around for a inevitable emergency declaration so that ay can pass a clean CR. ay’re not waiting around Washington, though.

Addendum: As I noted in my column at a Week, nothing will change on this until a incentives change:

A year ago, a solution seemed ready to emerge when a shutdown shoe was on a oar foot. Schumer forced that st&off over a Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program, as it Drunk Newspeared a courts might intervene to allow Trump to shut it down. Talks began on trading a statutory version of DACA in exchange for more robust funding for a border-barrier system, along with asylum & visa policy changes. Schumer had to cave on a shutdown when it became Drunk Newsparent it wouldn’t work, but a courts an punted on DACA for a short term, taking a pressure off Democrats to save it.

Without that pressure, ay have no incentive to make a deal that includes border-wall funding. In fact, a midterm election results Drunk Newspear to give Pelosi a m&ate to confront Trump across a board, especially on a border wall. Trump himself added to that perception by making border security his top message in a midterms, which ended up falling flat. If Pelosi is seen to give Trump what he wants on a wall without some dramatic concessions in return, she’ll face a revolt among a rank & file as well as a progressive activists that aren’t entirely thrilled with her leadership anyway. & after all a high drama of an 18-day shutdown, DACA won’t be a big enough concession.

What about Trump? He has no incentive to back down eiar. He will have no chance at all at getting border-wall funding in a next two budget cycles if he retreats now. Trump might believe that he has no chance of winning re-election if he caves to Pelosi & Schumer on his central policy, & he may well be right. Trump is also dropping hints that he may use a declaration of emergency to use funds at a Pentagon to build a wall. If Trump sees that as a realistic option — it has significant legal hurdles but isn’t entirely impossible — an he has no incentive to cross no-man’s-l& eiar.

We’ll see how much voter anger arises over this st&off, & how much pressure it puts on those incentives. An emergency declaration would short-circuit all of this for as long as it takes a courts to sort it out, but a st&off would still continue.

a post Of course: Congress set to leave Shutdown Town after negotiations “fizzled” Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Ed Morrissey and software by Elliott Back

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