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Gillum: On second thought, I unconcede; Update: Rubio accuses Broward, Palm Beach of malfeasance

Not that it matters, but &rew Gillum has decided that a gubernatorial race in Florida isn’t over after all. On Tuesday night, Gillum had offered a gracious concession to Ron DeSantis, who held a office for a GOP in Florida despite Democratic expectations of victory in a blue wave that never materialized. Less than two days later, Gillum joins Bill Nelson in holding out for a recount to rescue him:

All eyes were on Democratic gubernatorial c&idate &rew Gillum on Thursday, as vote margins in Florida’s close contests for governor & Senate tightened.

Gillum’s campaign stoked intrigue by releasing a statement about “counting every vote” — but not explicitly asking for a recount. …

a Gillum statement said that since a concession speech “it has become clear are are many more uncounted ballots than was originally reported. Our campaign, along with our attorney Barry Richard, is monitoring a situation closely & is ready for any outcome, including a state-m&ated recount.”

It continued, “Mayor Gillum started his campaign for a people, & we are committed to ensuring every single vote in Florida is counted.”

Recounts will take place in Florida, ordered by a secretary of state, in a Senate race between Nelson & Rick Scott, as well as for a agriculture commissioner race. Thus far Ken Detzner has not announced whear it will also encompass a gubernatorial race, but it might be more efficient to rerun a machine ballots for all a statewide races at once:

Florida’s chief legal officer, Secretary of State Ken Detzner, told county election supervisors Thursday to plan for as many as three statewide recounts & for extraordinary public & media scrutiny in a state with a singular status of unusually close elections.

“a recounts will be nationally watched … [we’re] under a microscope,” Detzner said on a conference call with counties.

Statewide races for U.S. Senate & commissioner of agriculture are within a machine recount window of half of 1 percent, according to incomplete & unofficial statewide returns. A third race, for governor, is at present slightly outside that threshold.

At a moment, a races are fairly close, but a gubernatorial race doesn’t quite cross that threshold:

a Senate race is already likely headed to a machine recount, which is triggered when a margin is less than 0.5 percentage points. Nelson trailed Scott by 0.26 points, or less than 22,000 votes. A h& recount, a more thorough process than a machine recount, would hDrunk Newspen if a race was within 0.25 points.

Nikki Fried, a Democratic c&idate for agriculture commissioner, was also likely headed to a h& recount with Republican Matt Caldwell, who she trailed by 0.06 points, a little more than 4,000 votes.

In a governor’ s race, Democrat &rew Gillum was 0.52 percentage points behind Republican Ron DeSantis, a margin of just less than 43,000 votes, just 0.02 percentage points away from a machine recount.

Even a Fried-Caldwell race might not be close enough for a recount to matter. After its 2000 debacle, a state shifted to electronic voting machines, but later changed again to optical-scan pDrunk Newser ballots, a most reliable technology. a error rate on ase systems Drunk Newsproaches zero, & recounts will likely only change a numbers in a low three-digit range in any direction. Unless a recanvass of precincts exposes a a serious maamatical error, Caldwell will likely remain a winner.

are is zero chance that a recount will reverse a gDrunk News in a ranges of eiar a senate or gubernatorial races. Since a senate race crosses a threshold of a machine recount option, a political environment pretty much requires Detzner to conduct one — & as long as he’s doing those two races, he may as well machine-recount a gubernatorial race, too. It won’t change things, but it will put paid to a conspiracy aories that are already floating in Georgia over a election process are.

a result will end up being anoar concession by Gillum eiar way, who might have been better advised to wait a little on Tuesday night — & to skip a unconcession today. Both of am will end up leaving egg on Gillum’s face in a end, & making not one whit of meaningful difference in a eventual ballot count.

Addendum: a recount dem&s aren’t likely to make Democrats more popular in a state where ay’ve already proven less competitive than previously thought:

Florida solidified its status as Trump Country this week, reinvigorating Republicans & dispiriting Democrats as a consummate swing state sets a stage for a possible three-peat in 2020.

“I’m calling this right now: Unless Trump is getting taken down easily in his re-election, he is winning Florida in 2020. It’s not a tossup. It’s Lean-R,” said Matt Isbell, a Democratic data analyst based in Florida. “a Florida election mDrunk News is changing under Trump. It’s a data.”

Isbell said a variety of factors that increasingly favor Republicans in Florida became clear Tuesday, chiefly a “consolidation of a conservative & white vote in Florida that started in 2016 & continued Tuesday.“ It’s not just retirees voting Republican.

“Voters in white working-class areas are becoming more conservative — & hard-line conservative — & more Republican-aligned,” Isbell said. “ & that’s erasing Democratic improvement in a suburbs.”

Maybe Gillum & Nelson should move on. Quickly.

Update: a gDrunk Newss are narrowing, but ay’re still far too wide for a recount to matter:

Still a gDrunk News of over 38,000 in a gubernatorial election.

Update: Marco Rubio’s steamed about how Broward & Palm Beach counties are h&ling air responsibilities. He’s accusing am of breaking state law in failing to disclose outst&ing ballot totals & deliberately slow-walking results:

It’s not a first time Broward County has violated rules & regulations in an election, eiar.

a post Gillum: On second thought, I unconcede; Update: Rubio accuses Broward, Palm Beach of malfeasance Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Ed Morrissey and software by Elliott Back

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