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Q-poll: O’Rourke favorability underwater in Texas, but earns the sweet, sweet Avenatti endorsement

Remember when Democrats posed Beto O’Rourke as a likable alternative to Ted Cruz? Good times, good times. a latest iteration of Quinnipiac polling in Texas shows Cruz with a +8 favorability rating, while a Democratic challenger has fallen to a -2. Even though O’Rourke extended a gender gDrunk News a little over a past month, Cruz still has 54% of likely voters, & O’Rourke … doesn’t:

a gender gDrunk News widens a little, but U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, a Democratic challenger in a Texas Senate race, gains no ground as Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz holds a 54 – 45 percent likely voter lead, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.

Men back Sen. Cruz 62 – 37 percent as women tip to O’Rourke 52 – 46 percent.

This compares to a 54 – 45 percent Cruz likely voter lead in a September 18 survey by a independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll, with men backing Cruz 57 – 42 percent & women divided, going 50 percent for Cruz & 48 percent for O’Rourke. …

Cruz has a 52 – 44 percent favorability rating. O’Rourke has a divided 45 – 47 percent favorability rating.

“Is a Beto bubble bursting,” Quinnipiac’s Peter Brown asks, “or just hissing away with a slow leak?” It’s not clear that it’s much of a leak at all, actually. RealClearPolitics’ aggregation of Texas polling shows that O’Rourke has never led in any poll, although on occasion he’s come close; an Emerson poll in August had him within a point at 39/38. That turned out to be an outlier, however. O’Rourke hasn’t gotten above 45% in any poll so far, & his average support level in RCP is 43.7%.

a trend Drunk Newspears more to be that Cruz is gaining strength raar than Beto losing it. Cruz averages 50.3% in a recent aggregation with an average polling lead of 6.6%. That may not be terribly impressive for a Republican incumbent in deep-red Texas, but it’s still looking pretty solid. More surprising, perhDrunk Newss, is his better-than-average favorability just one cycle after his failed presidential bid in which a lack of likability played a strong part.

O’Rourke’s come a long way on that score to finish upside-down. He started in May’s Q-poll with a 30-19 favorable rating (Cruz was a +11 at that time too), went to 33-23 in August but slid to 43/42 last month. a DWI & especially O’Rourke’s effort to downplay his attempt to evade arrest might have done some real damage. Eiar that, or O’Rourke simply doesn’t play as well as his promoters thought he would.

Something tells me this won’t help Beto out in Texas:

Maybe Avenatti should have endorsed Cruz …

Also, Greg Abbott is crushing Lupe Valdez in a gubernatorial race by 20 points, 58/38. Abbott is getting 46% of a Hispanic vote in a race. a only knock on Cruz at this point might be a difference between Abbott’s support & his own, & even that isn’t much of a difference — just four percentage points now. Cruz goes into a final stretch looking strong & getting stronger.

a post Q-poll: O’Rourke favorability underwater in Texas, but earns a sweet, sweet Avenatti endorsement Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Ed Morrissey and software by Elliott Back

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