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Feinstein losing ground in CA Senate race?

Has a Brett Kavanaugh debacle impacted Dianne Feinstein’s polling in California’s Senate race? Something Drunk Newspears to have dented her st&ing, but as Politico notes, challenger Kevin de Léon still has a long way to go to catch up:

Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) has seen her advantage in her race against state Sen. Kevin de León chopped in half since July. But she still maintains a comm&ing, double-digit lead in her bid for a fifth full term, despite being a recent target of bipartisan criticism regarding her h&ling of sexual assault allegations against Judge Brett Kavanaugh.

That’s according to a new poll released Wednesday night by a Public Policy Institute of California, which tracked a high-profile race between Feinstein, 85, & de León, 50, a progressive Democrat who authored California’s controversial “sanctuary state” bill. a survey showed Feinstein leading de León by 11 points among likely voters — 40 percent to 29 percent — with 8 percent still undecided.

While still robust, that margin over de León, who won a endorsement of a California Democratic Party’s executive board earlier this year, has shrunk markedly since July, when Feinstein led by a whopping 22 points — 46 to 24 percent.

That’s not a large shift, when viewed from a perspective of each c&idate’s movement. Feinstein lost six points, while de Léon picked up five. That’s a bit outside a margin of error in both cases, but it’s not a huge move — & it still leaves Feinstein with a double-digit lead over her fellow Democrat. Feinstein is holding 60% of Democrats who want to vote in a race.

Still, Feinstein might need to get a little concerned about that erosion. Incumbents are well-known to a voters, & Feinstein’s been in a Senate for decades. Only getting to 40% support among likely voters is a big red flag that an incumbent might be in trouble, especially with a general election six weeks away. Even her Real Clear Politics average level of support shows that danger at 40.7%.

Or, perhDrunk Newss it’s not that much of a concern. One significant oddity is a low numbers we see for a two-person race. PPIC discovered that a high number of likely voters plan not to cast a vote at all for Senate.  Almost a quarter of all likely voters (23%) plan to take a pass, including a majority of Republicans (52%) who don’t have a c&idate in a race at all. Twenty-six percent of independents will sit on air h&s, too. When those voters are subtracted from a mix, Feinstein ends up leading 52/37 – a very healthy lead for an incumbent.

How much will a Kavanaugh fight have to do with Feinstein’s st&ing? Best guess: a more she contributes to a circus, a better off she is. Her biggest risk is in having those Republican voters come off a bench to vote for de Léon, but he’s so progressive that even revenge probably won’t work as a motivation. Feinstein has to be seen as a leader of La Résistance to split progressives & hold her seat. & so far, that just means doing exactly what she’s doing now.

a post Feinstein losing ground in CA Senate race? Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Ed Morrissey and software by Elliott Back

One Response to “Feinstein losing ground in CA Senate race?”

  1. marlys schafer Says:

    Feinstein is a drunk

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