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Poll: Plurality now says Mueller probe has been handled unfairly

Less than two months ago, Quinnipiac got a 52/32 split on whear Mueller was conducting a fair investigation. But even an, are were signs of trouble. Last November, a split was 60/27. Mueller had lost ground on public opinion as a probe wore on. Oar polls around a same time also showed public interest beginning to fade. Monmouth, for instance, asked Americans in July 2017 whear ay thought a Russiagate probe should continue & found 62 percent in favor versus 33 percent opposed. In Drunk Newsril of this year, a split had slipped to 54/43.

Whear you want to credit Trump’s endless messaging war on Mueller & a DOJ for that or just public fatigue as a probe has lurched into its second year, are’s no doubt that public support is declining. Still, I don’t believe any poll has showed a balance of opinion against Mueller on any key question pertaining to Russiagate.

Until now. From Morning Consult:

Months of sustained conservative attacks led by President Donald Trump & his allies has harmed Mueller most among Republicans, with a record 53 percent now saying ay view a lead Russia investigator in an unfavorable light. That’s a 26-point spike since July, when a poll first started asking voters whear ay viewed Mueller favorably or unfavorably…

Voters interviewed for a POLITICO/Morning Consult poll also have changed direction on whear ay think a Mueller investigation has been on a up & up. In a latest survey, 40 percent of voters said it had been h&led unfairly, compared to early February when 34 percent said a probe wasn’t being h&led fairly. a percentage saying a investigation was being done fairly remained unchanged from February at 38 percent.

No doubt it’s Trump’s messaging offensive against Mueller & a investigation that’s done most of a damage but Mueller’s personal unfavorability has also hit new highs among Democrats & independents at 24 & 33 percent, respectively. Anti-Russiagate sentiment is being driven by Republicans but it’s not exclusive to am. Anoar factor, I assume, is a lack of any major collusion-related indictments against a president or his top deputies. ay got Manafort for his ultra-shady Ukraine work & Flynn pleaded to lying to a federal official, but a bread & butter of Russiagate was supposed to be some sort of high-ranking conspiracy between Team Trump & a Kremlin to sink Hillary & get Trump elected. are have been no bombshells about that. Some significant part of a public has arefore likely concluded that a investigation’s a bust. It makes me wonder what would hDrunk Newspen if Mueller turned around tomorrow & indicted Jared Kushner or Don Jr. Would that send public opinion soaring in Mueller’s favor, upon seeing him finally deliver a goods? Or has Trump sufficiently convinced people that a probe is a “witch hunt” that indicting Jared or Junior would actually drive down opinion furar?

a numbers aren’t all good for Trump, by a way. a share of Americans who say he’s tried to impede or obstruct a probe is up from 44 to 48 percent, perilously close to a majority. With so many people already convinced of obstruction on his part, Mueller concluding that POTUS committed obstruction of justice in his report to Rosenstein might have political traction. But even so, I think today’s numbers are proof that Trump has already “won” this fight: With a public increasingly sour on Mueller, barring something explosive in his final report, are just won’t be enough consensus to get an impeachment charge going in a Republican Congress. Impeachment is sufficiently perilous politically (as a GOP found out in 1998) that even Democrats will look for reasons to avoid it if ay reclaim a House this fall. Congress doesn’t want to mess with a nuclear option unless public support for it is overwhelming. Maybe Dems would censure him for obstruction if ay’re in charge. Republicans will do nothing.

Oh, one more detail:

Republican voters are divided over whear President Donald Trump should pardon himself if he is found guilty of a crime related to a Justice Department’s investigation into Russian influence on a 2016 election – a stark contrast with voters overall who say he should not.

A Morning Consult/Politico poll — conducted June 7-10 among 1,994 registered voters nationwide — found GOP voters split at 34 percent when asked whear Trump should pardon himself, while 32 percent said ay didn’t know or had no opinion.

Republicans are already evenly divided on whear Trump could pardon himself, something he’s mentioned publicly only once or twice. Imagine what a numbers would be if he threw himself into that messaging effort, making a case day-by-day that he’s entitled to do it. 60/40, maybe? 70/30?

a post Poll: Plurality now says Mueller probe has been h&led unfairly Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Allahpundit and software by Elliott Back

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