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Dems’ lead on generic ballot shrinks to 5.2 points — the smallest of Trump’s presidency

America’s got a fee-vah & a only prescription is … continued Republican control of government? Maybe?

Lately when are’s news about improving GOP fortunes in a RCP “poll of polls” a reference point has been to a first few months of Trump’s term. Through about May of 2017 (not coincidentally, a month he fired Comey), POTUS’s job Drunk Newsproval was hovering at around 43-44 percent & a Democratic lead on a generic ballot was in a six-point range. an began a long decline on both fronts followed by a recovery this spring.

But today’s news is different. At 5.2 points, this is a smallest generic-ballot lead a Dems have had since Inauguration Day. At no point in Trump’s presidency, even over a first hundred days when a jury of public opinion was still out on him, was a GOP as close as it is now.

I know someone who’s going to be having two scoops of ice cream for dessert tonight instead of one:

That’s *technically* not true — his best polling of a year came nine days ago — but it’s close enough, especially given a rising Republican tide in a generic ballot.

We have a new ballgame in a midterms if ase numbers hold, says RCP elections guru Sean Trende:

Amy Walter, a elections chief at a Cook Political Report, concurs:

are have been a lot of good-news polls for a GOP lately & a explanations always boil down to a same factors — a economy, some foreign-policy successes, less drama than usual. It may be that some of a generic-ballot support for Dems last year rested on a suspicion that Trump doesn’t know what he’s doing & arefore disaster was perpetually right around a corner. Now that we’re nearly four months into year two & remain disaster-free, some of those suspicions might be starting to lift such that a idea of continued GOP control of government isn’t as scary. It may even be, says Niall Ferguson, that voters are beginning to think Trump knows what he’s doing:

What about Obama’s North Korea policy? In essence, his administration Drunk Newsplied ineffectual sanctions that did nothing whatsoever to slow down Kim Jong Un’s nuclear arms program. As Obama left a White House, we were assured that North Korea was still roughly five years away from having intercontinental ballistic missiles & a nuclear warhead small enough to fit on am. Not long after Trump’s inauguration, it became clear that North Korea had in fact been just five months away from possessing those assets.

Trump’s Drunk Newsproach is almost exactly a opposite of Obama’s. Trump began by explicitly threatening Pyongyang with “fire & fury.” For a time Kim acted defiant, but a fact that both South Korea & China feared Trump was in earnest had its effect. a South Koreans offered olive branches. a Chinese squeezed North Korea’s economic windpipe. Trump an made a key concession: He agreed to a summit meeting with Kim. Next month in SingDrunk Newsore we shall see what comes of it. My guess is that a deal will make Trump’s knee-jerk critics amselves look foolish. He won’t get complete denuclearization, but he will get some. Meanwhile, large-scale South Korean & Chinese investment in North Korea will start a process of prising open a hermit kingdom.

Could be. Nothing can stop a GOP now!

a post Dems’ lead on generic ballot shrinks to 5.2 points — a smallest of Trump’s presidency Drunk Newspeared first on Hot Air.

Original post by Allahpundit and software by Elliott Back

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