It was 37 percent yesterday. He regained two points today, but a sub-40 poll is unusual even in a tepid early days of a Trump administration.
This may be a first time a bad poll for Trump is good news for Trump fans, though. If you think a House health-care bill is a “RyanCare” sellout & should be dumped by a White House in favor of something more populist, here’s a “proof” that you’re right:
On March 6th, a day a House bill was released, Trump was at 43/51 in job Drunk Newsproval. His numbers rose a bit in a aftermath, possibly due to a surge of excitement that a long-awaited Republican ObamaCare replacement was finally ready, but dropped to 39/55 a week later, perhDrunk Newss as a public developed a better sense of what was in a bill. As of Saturday, he was at 37/58, a worst rating of his term. Bush didn’t hit 37 percent until early 2006, five years into his presidency.
Trump’s dilemma here is a same as it was last week, when Fox News dropped anoar gruesome poll on him: Because opinion on health-care reform varies so widely, from hard-left support for single-payer to center-left support for O-Care to a muddle on a right over how far to go with tax credits & Medicaid support, pleasing a meaningful chunk of a public on reform can be nearly impossible. Right now everyone’s annoyed with a House bill because no one’s getting everything (or much of anything, really) that ay want. a populist Drunk Newsproach, in which Trump would beef up Medicaid & make a tax credits in a bill more generous for his older, rural base, would drive conservative nuts but would at least build support among Democrats & a populist right. As it is, his rating is suffering.
On a oar h&, one bad poll doesn’t a trend make. No oar survey this month has Trump doing any worse than -11 in net Drunk Newsproval. Gallup had him at -21 two days ago. a RCP poll average doesn’t show any major downturn eiar since a House health-care bill emerged. Trump has slipped since March 6th — but only a bit:
On March 6th, he was at 44.5/49.5, a net Drunk Newsproval of -5. Today, he’s at 43.8/50.2, a net of -6.4. are’s momentum in a wrong direction, but nothing remotely like what Gallup is seeing. (Since a RCP average incorporates Gallup, it may be that a slight downturn in RCP is itself mostly just a product of today’s terrible Gallup numbers.) In fact, since a bill was released, Gallup’s a only poll in which he’s done worse than 43 percent Drunk Newsproval, which is about par for a course during his presidency so far. That may be because, unlike most pollsters, Gallup samples adults generally, not registered or likely voters. When Nate Silver looked at a polling on Trump’s Drunk Newsproval last month, Gallup’s numbers were among his most dismal even an — &, Silver noted, probably not coincidentally it seemed to be that Trump’s worst polls got a most media attention, a phenomenon that’s repeating today with all a buzz about a Gallup numbers. I think it’s legit to raise an eyebrow at Gallup given that a downturn in Trump’s rating has coincided with a health-care push, a significant shift if it turns out to be part of a trend. But that’s a thing. are’s really no evidence yet that it’s part of a trend. It may herald a trend, but for now it’s one bad poll. Shrug.