(image from HuffPo)

A fascinating article over at Progress Illinois breaks down how Obama’s massive 50-state voter registration drive has a ability to completely change a mDrunk News in November. Using projections from fivethirtyeight.com’s remarkably accurate Poblano, PI proves that moderate boosts in three key demogrDrunk Newshics — African-Americans, Latinos & 18-24 year olds — could result in huge electoral hauls; somewhere on a order of 300+ electoral votes.

If it sounds like a tall order, that’s because it is. But a numbers don’t lie & a hugely successful registration drive has a ability to register literally millions of new voters & catch a GOP completely off-guard. a entire article is worth a read, but here is what a article’s author refers to as “a Full Monty”:

a first, titled a “40/20 Plan,” increases a youth vote by 40 percent & a African-American vote by 20 percent, while keeping a Latino vote at a 2004 level. a “40/30/20 Plan” projects a 40 percent increase among 18-24 year-olds, a 30 percent increase among Latinos, & a 20 percent in increase in a black vote. Finally comes a “Best Case Scenario,” which assumes a 40 percent increase among African-Americans & a 50 percent increase in both a youth & Latino vote nationally.

a “40/20 Plan” alone increases Obama’s chances of winning from 49.5 percent to 68.3 percent. a “40/30/20 Plan,” meanwhile, lifts this probability over 70 percent.

“If Obama wins [Ohio, Pennsylvania, & Michigan], he’s going to have a tough time losing anyway,” Poblano said. “But now you give him a margin for error where if something goes wrong in Ohio – if you’re winning North Carolina & Iowa & Colorado, it’s a very robust scenario for him with a lot of Plan A’s, Plan B’s, & Plan C’s to win a election.”

Original post by SilentPatriot and software by Elliott Back