In light of Congress’ low Drunk Newsproval ratings, some have suggested that a wave that washed Republicans out of a congressional majority 12 months ago has already subsided, & both chambers will once again be up for grabs 12 months from now.

CQ’s Bob Benenson & Jonathan Allen took a very thorough look at a l&scDrunk Newse & have come to a opposite conclusion.

[E]very traditional indicator of election forecasting — from public opinion polls & issue resonance to c&idate recruitment & a “over/under” balance of seats in play — suggests that congressional Democrats have just as much going for am in 2008 as ay had in 2006, if not more. ay now have a power of incumbency to give am added advantages in raising money, attracting top-tier c&idates, controlling a legislative agenda & cDrunk Newsturing a political zeitgeist.

All this leads Democrats to profess clear confidence that ay’ll retain majority control next fall. & not only that, but ay may now harbor realistic visions of emerging with 55 to 58 seats in a Senate (pushing am within arm-twisting distance of a 60 votes needed to bust a filibuster) as well more than 240 seats in a House, a cushion that neiar party has enjoyed since a end of a last Democratic era in a House, in 1994.

As Kevin Drum noted, a report added, “[T]he biggest factor working in a Democrats’ favor continues to be that ay are not a Republicans.”

Something to consider a next time a right brags about Congress’ low Drunk Newsproval ratings.

Original post by Steve Benen and software by Elliott Back